Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035780 0.041426 0.047686 0.055142 0.063786 0.073497 0.085244
2026-01-18 0.027387 0.034902 0.044069 0.056086 0.071449 0.090463 0.115841
2026-01-25 0.022537 0.030926 0.041943 0.057498 0.078952 0.107583 0.148847
2026-02-01 0.018252 0.026605 0.038255 0.055735 0.081392 0.117823 0.173763
2026-02-08 0.015503 0.023802 0.035995 0.055275 0.085141 0.129885 0.202476
2026-02-15 0.013374 0.021501 0.034003 0.054717 0.088379 0.141284 0.231438
2026-02-22 0.011977 0.020080 0.033078 0.055552 0.093709 0.156361 0.268049
2026-03-01 0.010616 0.018496 0.031632 0.055251 0.097001 0.168373 0.301011
2026-03-08 0.009280 0.016752 0.029662 0.053730 0.097898 0.176286 0.327711
2026-03-15 0.008156 0.015223 0.027847 0.052197 0.098483 0.183576 0.354066
2026-03-22 0.007540 0.014529 0.027422 0.053117 0.103639 0.199723 0.399125
2026-03-29 0.006927 0.013758 0.026746 0.053449 0.107664 0.214151 0.442664
2026-04-05 0.006344 0.012985 0.025999 0.053596 0.111451 0.228804 0.489205
2026-04-12 0.005886 0.012407 0.025566 0.054327 0.116535 0.246752 0.545319
2026-04-19 0.005535 0.012002 0.025430 0.055650 0.123026 0.268430 0.612602
2026-04-26 0.004950 0.011023 0.023975 0.053934 0.122663 0.275314 0.647648
2026-05-03 0.004539 0.010373 0.023144 0.053488 0.125065 0.288573 0.699276
2026-05-10 0.004165 0.009761 0.022320 0.052947 0.127164 0.301372 0.751587
2026-05-17 0.003926 0.009429 0.022088 0.053754 0.132549 0.322516 0.827405
2026-05-24 0.003636 0.008940 0.021435 0.053463 0.135211 0.337432 0.889587
2026-05-31 0.003303 0.008305 0.020360 0.051993 0.134728 0.344505 0.932341
2026-06-07 0.003003 0.007717 0.019331 0.050510 0.134018 0.350907 0.974232
2026-06-14 0.002858 0.007509 0.019223 0.051400 0.139667 0.374539 1.066985